Thoughts of a mechanical engineer turned programmer turned statistical investor. Here to save you from making mistakes I made at the beginning of my investing career.

53% year end musings

I was sick all week, with not much drive to do anything, so I found myself with some time to pass in the evenings after the girls went to sleep before I went to pass out myself. I admit I’ve been having a bit of trouble holding my strategy in the last few months, with…

2023 year review

While not entirely over, I doubt I will have a chance to do a real end-of-year post, so just going to call it a year now. That was a doozy of a year – nasdaq composite up 37%, nasdaq 100 up a whopping 46% (!!!!) !!!! My porfolio up “only” 34%, so honestly “underperforming” esp…

End of half update – 2 months late

Well that was a whirlwind of a quarter, for both the stock market and for myself, as I started a full time remote job. I’ve been busy raising the girls and working, so didn’t get to post here since the end of the first quarter, so I figured I would post an update. Also -…

Ending the quarter on a high note – portfolio review

The nasdaq just closed the quarter up ~21%, bringing us back up above last Septembers highs, towards last August highs: It has been a BRUTAL rally from November lows for the nasdaq, in all the right ways. I haven’t done a portfolio review in a little while, so I figure its a good time to…

Some new strategies to end the quarter

We’re nearing the end of the quarter and I wanted to do a quick post about a slightly different strategy I opened on a couple of positions. I call the strategy a “Phil spread” named after my mentor Phil Davis from philstockworld and a combination of short puts with a bull call spread. It looks…

23% 2023 (!)

Nothing like starting off the year with enough gains for the whole year: Unfortunately, December 2022 was a disaster, but we are now up ~5% since the start of this blog (Jan 2022). For comparison, the nasdaq is down 22% in the same time period. I have filled a bunch of trades this year, mostly…

2022 Year summary

So 2022 ended, and I wanted to put a summary post so I have it to look back on, because I started this blog only during the year. The year ended with the nasdaq down 33% and the s&p down 19.5%, and my portfolio down 17%. So on a historically shitty year, relatively decent performance…

November 9% Nasdaq – year end portfolio review

Although it may not feel like it, the nasdaq went up 9% in the last month: Its still down 28% on the year, but at its lowest this year it was down 34% (!). My portfolio is doing a lot better, showing -3.8% for the year, but still red for the year unfortunately: Honestly I…

Trade alert – closing some trades which worked out in this crazy market

This was the nasdaq in Octorber (so far): The first week looked off to a great start, until Friday afternoon where it erased all progress. Then the second week kindof went nowhere, until Thursday where the market fell off a cliff in the morning, only to close green for the day and back above where…

Nasdaq hits June lows + trade alerts on AMZN, AAPL, V

With the nasdaq back at June lows, its time to execute what I said at the end of this post – deploy some cash. There are 3 opportunities I see today: V, AMZN, AAPL, and the way I decided to play them this time is a bit unusual, especially when looking at the rest of…

Executed trades update – still (barely) green for the year

Which is something other indices can’t say for themselves. Even after todays 2% rally, the nasdaq is down ~7% over the last month. After todays almost $10k of (unrealized) gains, we’re showing $2300 green for the year, so less than half a percent, but compared to the nasdaq’s YTD of -26%, not bad. I did…

Mid August update

We went as high as 6.7% green YTD last week, although we’ve tapered off now to only ~5%: Still, a lot better than the nasdaqs -19% performance. I did do a few trades over the past 2 weeks, because I was skeptical of the rally and I wanted to free up some cash to deploy…

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About Me

Hi, I’m Ori. Mechanical engineer turned programmer turned statistical investor. Looking to have probability on my side by combining options strategies. Self learner and researcher, always logical, never intimidated. Self defined goal of retiring at 45, so 10 years to go!

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