Thoughts of a mechanical engineer turned programmer turned statistical investor. Here to save you from making mistakes I made at the beginning of my investing career.

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  • End of July summary – or – my overweight AMZN position finally pays off, were green for the year!

    End of July summary – or – my overweight AMZN position finally pays off, were green for the year!

    Well that was a ripper of a month. The nasdaq went up 12.5%: but is still down over 20% YTD: Big tech mostly reported this week, including AMZN and TSLA (is tesla considered big tech?). AMZN ended the day 10% higher, which put my short put positions full OTM, or on track to expire worthless. […]

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  • Have we seen the bottom? May 13 weekly summary

    Have we seen the bottom? May 13 weekly summary

    Theres nothing like finishing a red week with a 3.5% up day to lessen the blow, but even with that, the nasdaq was down another 2.6% for the week. My porfolio lost 3.7%, again due to my large position in AMZN, which I still think is going to work out in the long run. I […]

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  • AMZN earnings trade

    AMZN earnings trade

    With amzn trading at 2800, implied volatility at 46%, the vix at 30, and earnings this evening, it’s time to do a conservative earnings trade on them. In the past year whenever AMZN neared the 2800 line it popped back up: So a it’s possible to do a very (!) conservative ratio spread for a […]

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  • GOOG, MSFT, V Earnings play follow up and daily post

    GOOG, MSFT, V Earnings play follow up and daily post

    So goog reputed and dropped 100$. But my earnings position in google really just stayed the same (-80$ for the earnings part) and is on track to expire worthless: And that’s the beauty of positions which are combined bear and bull positions, as opposed to just 1 way positions, bear or bull. A put ratio […]

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  • Start Here

    Start Here

    Tl;dr – In this blog I will be firstofall openly (completely FREE! no sign up for my newsletter, no buy a subscription!) sharing my current portfolio (no bullshitting here), but also discussing thoughts on investing, what I’m reading, different strategies, and more. I don’t know of any other blogs (or investors) who are open like […]

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